Sort by:
Match / Market
AI Prob
Market Prob
Edge
Value

Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal Win

42%
35%
+7.0%
Positive

Barcelona vs Atletico

BTTS Yes

49%
55%
-6.0%
Negative

AC Milan vs Inter

Under 2.5 Goals

51%
45%
+6.0%
Positive

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund

Home Win

62%
57%
+5.0%
Positive

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund

Over 2.5 Goals

72%
68%
+4.0%
Positive

Liverpool vs Man City

Draw

28%
31%
-3.0%
Negative

Real Madrid vs Man City

Draw

27%
27%
0.0%
Neutral

AI vs Market Probability

Points above line = positive value

Expected Value by Market

How to Read This

Green = AI probability exceeds market — potential edge

Yellow = AI and market aligned — no clear edge

Red = Market overestimates probability — avoid

EV = (AI Prob × Odds) − 1. Positive EV over large sample = profitable long-term strategy.